Offered by Celonis

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When tariff charges change in a single day, firms have 48 hours to mannequin options and act earlier than rivals safe the very best choices. At Celosphere 2025 in Munich, enterprises demonstrated how they’re turning that chaos into aggressive benefit — with quantifiable outcomes that separate winners from losers.

Vinmar Worldwide: Theglobal plastics and chemical substances distributor created a real-time digital twin of its $3B provide chain, slicing default expedites by greater than 20% and bettering supply agility throughout international operations.

Florida Crystals: One in every of America's largest cane sugar producers, the corporate unlocked hundreds of thousands in working capital and strengthened provide chain resilience by eliminating guide rework throughout Finance, Procurement, and Inbound Provide. AI pilots now prolong beneficial properties into bill processing, predictive upkeep, and order administration.

ASOS: The ecommerce vogue large linked its end-to-end provide chain for full transparency, lowering course of variation, accelerating speed-to-market, and bettering buyer expertise at scale.

The frequent thread right here: course of intelligence that bridges the hole conventional ERP techniques can’t shut — connecting operational dots throughout ERP, finance, and logistics techniques when seconds matter.

“The query isn’t whether or not disruptions will hit,” says Peter Budweiser, Basic Supervisor of Provide Chain at Celonis. “It’s whether or not your techniques can present you what’s breaking quick sufficient to repair it.”

That visibility hole prices the typical firm double-digit hundreds of thousands in working capital and aggressive positioning. As 54% of supply chain leaders face disruptions daily, the strain is shifting to AI brokers that execute actual actions: triggering buy orders, rerouting shipments, adjusting stock. However an autonomous agent performing on stale or siloed knowledge could make million-dollar errors when tariff constructions shift in a single day.

Tariffs, as outdated as commerce itself, have change into the final word stress check for enterprise AI — revealing whether or not firms actually perceive their provide chains and whether or not their AI will be trusted to behave.

Fashionable ERP: Knowledge wealthy, perception poor

Provide chain leaders face a paradox: drowning in knowledge whereas ravenous for perception. Conventional enterprise techniques — SAP, Oracle, PeopleSoft — seize each transaction meticulously.

SAP logs the acquisition order. Oracle tracks the cargo. The warehouse system information stock motion. Every performs its operate, however when tariffs change and firms have to mannequin different sourcing situations throughout all three concurrently, the info sits in silos.

“What’s modified is the pace at which disruptions cascade,” says Manik Sharma, Head of Provide Chain GTM AI at Celonis. “Conventional ERP techniques weren’t constructed for in the present day’s volatility.”

Corporations generate hundreds of reviews displaying what occurred final quarter. They wrestle to reply what occurs if tariffs improve 25% tomorrow and wish to modify suppliers inside days.

Tariffs: The 48-hour scramble

International commerce volatility has reworked tariffs from predictable prices into strategic weapons. When new charges drop with unprecedented frequency, enter prices spike throughout suppliers, finance groups scramble to calculate margin influence, and procurement races to establish options buried in disconnected techniques the place nobody is aware of if switching suppliers delays shipments or violates contracts.

By hour 48, rivals who already modeled situations execute provider switches whereas late movers face capability constraints and premium pricing.

Course of intelligence adjustments that dynamic by permitting companies to repeatedly mannequin “what-if” situations, displaying leaders how tariff adjustments cascade via suppliers, contracts, manufacturing strains, warehouses, and prospects. When charges hit, firms can transfer inside hours as a substitute of days.

No AI with out PI: Why course of intelligence is non-negotiable for provide chains

AI and provide chains are mutually dependent: AI wants operational context, and provide chains want AI to maintain tempo with volatility. However right here's the reality — there isn’t a AI with out PI. With out course of intelligence, AI brokers function blindly.

The continuing SAP migration wave illustrates why. An estimated 85–90% of SAP prospects are nonetheless transferring from ECC to S/4HANA. Shifting to newer databases doesn’t remedy provide chain visibility — it supplies sooner entry to the identical fragmented knowledge.

Kerry Brown, a change evangelist at Celonis, sees this throughout industries.

“Organizations are shifting from PeopleSoft to Oracle, or EBS to Fusion. The majority is in SAP,” she explains. “However what they actually need isn’t a brand new ERP. They should perceive how work really flows throughout techniques they have already got.”

That requires end-to-end operational context. Course of intelligence supplies this by enabling firms to extract and join occasion knowledge throughout techniques, displaying how processes execute in actual time.

This distinction turns into crucial when deploying autonomous brokers. When visibility is fragmented, autonomous brokers can simply make choices that seem rational regionally however create downstream disruption. With real-time context, AI can function with readability and precision, and provide chains can keep forward of tariff-driven disruption.

Digital Twins: Powering real-time response

The businesses highlighted at Celosphere all utilized the identical precept: perceive how processes run throughout techniques in actual time. Celonis PI creates a digital twin above present techniques, utilizing its Course of Intelligence Graph to hyperlink orders, shipments, invoices, and funds end-to-end. Dependencies that conventional integrations miss change into seen. A delay in SAP immediately reveals its influence throughout Oracle, warehouse scheduling, and buyer supply commitments.

“The platform brings collectively course of knowledge spanning techniques and departments, enriched with enterprise context that powers AI brokers to remodel operations successfully,” says Daniel Brown, Chief Product Officer at Celonis.

With this cross-system consciousness, Celonis coordinates actions throughout complicated workflows involving AI brokers, people, and automations — particularly crucial when tariffs power fast choices about suppliers, shipments, and prospects.

Zero-copy integration allows immediate modeling

A key development unveiled at Celosphere — zero-copy integration with Databricks — removes one other barrier. Historically, analyzing provide chain knowledge meant copying from supply techniques into central warehouses, creating knowledge latency.

Celonis Knowledge Core now integrates straight with platforms like Databricks and Microsoft Fabric, querying billions of information in close to actual time with out duplication. When commerce coverage shifts, firms mannequin options immediately, not after in a single day knowledge refresh cycles.

Enhanced Activity Mining extends this by connecting desktop exercise — keystrokes, mouse clicks, display screen scrolls — to enterprise processes. This exposes guide work invisible to system logs: spreadsheet gymnastics, e mail negotiations, telephone calls that maintain provide chains transferring throughout pressing adjustments.

Aggressive benefit in unstable markets

Most firms can’t rip out and exchange techniques working crucial operations — nor ought to they. Course of intelligence provides a unique path: compose workflows from present techniques, deploy AI the place it creates worth, and adapt repeatedly as situations change. This “Free the Course of” motion liberates firms from inflexible architectures with out forcing wholesale alternative.

As international commerce volatility intensifies, the businesses that mannequin will transfer sooner, make smarter choices, and switch tariff chaos into aggressive benefit — all whereas present ERPs maintain working.

When the subsequent wave of tariffs hits — and it’ll — firms gained’t have days to reply. They’ll have hours. The query isn’t whether or not your ERP captures the info. It’s whether or not your techniques join the dots quick sufficient to matter.

Missed Celosphere 2025? Catch up with all the highlights here.

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