That ‘low cost’ open-source AI mannequin is definitely burning by way of your compute funds

That ‘low cost’ open-source AI mannequin is definitely burning by way of your compute funds

Last Updated: August 15, 2025By

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A complete new study has revealed that open-source synthetic intelligence fashions eat considerably extra computing assets than their closed-source opponents when performing an identical duties, doubtlessly undermining their value benefits and reshaping how enterprises consider AI deployment methods.

The analysis, carried out by AI agency Nous Research, discovered that open-weight fashions use between 1.5 to 4 occasions extra tokens — the fundamental items of AI computation — than closed fashions like these from OpenAI and Anthropic. For easy data questions, the hole widened dramatically, with some open fashions utilizing as much as 10 occasions extra tokens.

“Open weight fashions use 1.5–4× extra tokens than closed ones (as much as 10× for easy data questions), making them generally dearer per question regardless of decrease per‑token prices,” the researchers wrote of their report printed Wednesday.

The findings problem a prevailing assumption within the AI business that open-source fashions provide clear financial benefits over proprietary alternate options. Whereas open-source fashions usually value much less per token to run, the research suggests this benefit might be “simply offset in the event that they require extra tokens to purpose a couple of given downside.”


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The true value of AI: Why ‘cheaper’ fashions might break your funds

The analysis examined 19 different AI models throughout three classes of duties: primary data questions, mathematical issues, and logic puzzles. The workforce measured “token effectivity” — what number of computational items fashions use relative to the complexity of their options—a metric that has obtained little systematic research regardless of its vital value implications.

“Token effectivity is a crucial metric for a number of sensible causes,” the researchers famous. “Whereas internet hosting open weight fashions could also be cheaper, this value benefit may very well be simply offset in the event that they require extra tokens to purpose a couple of given downside.”

Open-source AI fashions use as much as 12 occasions extra computational assets than probably the most environment friendly closed fashions for primary data questions. (Credit score: Nous Analysis)

The inefficiency is especially pronounced for Giant Reasoning Fashions (LRMs), which use prolonged “chains of thought” to unravel complicated issues. These fashions, designed to assume by way of issues step-by-step, can eat hundreds of tokens pondering easy questions that ought to require minimal computation.

For primary data questions like “What’s the capital of Australia?” the research discovered that reasoning fashions spend “a whole lot of tokens pondering easy data questions” that may very well be answered in a single phrase.

Which AI fashions really ship bang in your buck

The analysis revealed stark variations between mannequin suppliers. OpenAI’s fashions, significantly its o4-mini and newly launched open-source gpt-oss variants, demonstrated distinctive token effectivity, particularly for mathematical issues. The research discovered OpenAI fashions “stand out for excessive token effectivity in math issues,” utilizing as much as thrice fewer tokens than different business fashions.

Amongst open-source choices, Nvidia’s llama-3.3-nemotron-super-49b-v1 emerged as “probably the most token environment friendly open weight mannequin throughout all domains,” whereas newer fashions from firms like Magistral confirmed “exceptionally excessive token utilization” as outliers.

The effectivity hole diversified considerably by activity kind. Whereas open fashions used roughly twice as many tokens for mathematical and logic issues, the distinction ballooned for easy data questions the place environment friendly reasoning needs to be pointless.

OpenAI’s newest fashions obtain the bottom prices for easy questions, whereas some open-source alternate options can value considerably extra regardless of decrease per-token pricing. (Credit score: Nous Analysis)

What enterprise leaders must find out about AI computing prices

The findings have quick implications for enterprise AI adoption, the place computing prices can scale quickly with utilization. Firms evaluating AI fashions typically give attention to accuracy benchmarks and per-token pricing, however might overlook the whole computational necessities for real-world duties.

“The higher token effectivity of closed weight fashions typically compensates for the upper API pricing of these fashions,” the researchers discovered when analyzing whole inference prices.

The research additionally revealed that closed-source mannequin suppliers seem like actively optimizing for effectivity. “Closed weight fashions have been iteratively optimized to make use of fewer tokens to cut back inference value,” whereas open-source fashions have “elevated their token utilization for newer variations, presumably reflecting a precedence towards higher reasoning efficiency.”

The computational overhead varies dramatically between AI suppliers, with some fashions utilizing over 1,000 tokens for inside reasoning on easy duties. (Credit score: Nous Analysis)

How researchers cracked the code on AI effectivity measurement

The analysis workforce confronted distinctive challenges in measuring effectivity throughout totally different mannequin architectures. Many closed-source fashions don’t reveal their uncooked reasoning processes, as an alternative offering compressed summaries of their inside computations to forestall opponents from copying their methods.

To handle this, researchers used completion tokens — the whole computational items billed for every question — as a proxy for reasoning effort. They found that “most up-to-date closed supply fashions is not going to share their uncooked reasoning traces” and as an alternative “use smaller language fashions to transcribe the chain of thought into summaries or compressed representations.”

The research’s methodology included testing with modified variations of well-known issues to attenuate the affect of memorized options, equivalent to altering variables in mathematical competitors issues from the American Invitational Mathematics Examination (AIME).

Completely different AI fashions present various relationships between computation and output, with some suppliers compressing reasoning traces whereas others present full particulars. (Credit score: Nous Analysis)

The way forward for AI effectivity: What’s coming subsequent

The researchers counsel that token effectivity ought to develop into a major optimization goal alongside accuracy for future mannequin growth. “A extra densified CoT may even enable for extra environment friendly context utilization and will counter context degradation throughout difficult reasoning duties,” they wrote.

The discharge of OpenAI’s open-source gpt-oss models, which reveal state-of-the-art effectivity with “freely accessible CoT,” might function a reference level for optimizing different open-source fashions.

The whole analysis dataset and analysis code are available on GitHub, permitting different researchers to validate and prolong the findings. Because the AI business races towards extra highly effective reasoning capabilities, this research means that the true competitors might not be about who can construct the neatest AI — however who can construct probably the most environment friendly one.

In any case, in a world the place each token counts, probably the most wasteful fashions might discover themselves priced out of the market, no matter how effectively they will assume.



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